Table of Contents
Future Agenda: Six Challenges for the Next Decade
Acknowledgements v
Content vi
Introduction 1
Our Approach 2
Chapter 1 Twelve Common Views of the Future 4
1 Too Many People 5
2 Running out of Resources 5
3 Pollution is out of Control 5
4 Migration is Bad 6
5 There will not be Enough Jobs 6
6 Female Education can Address Many Issues 6
7 Technology will Solve the Big Problems 6
8 Solar is the Answer 7
9 We Need to Rethink Retirement 7
10 Health-care Spending will Only Go Up 7
11 This is the Asian Century 7
12 GDP Growth is the Best Way to Measure Progress 8
Six Key Challenges 8
Chapter 2 Challenge 1: Future People 9
Imbalanced Population Growth 10
Shrinking Middle 15
Agelessness 17
Working Longer 19
Rising Youth Unemployment 22
Affordable Health Care 25
Care in the Community 28
Female Choice Dilemma 30
Conclusion: Nordic Answers 32
Chapter 3 Challenge 2: Future Place 35
Accelerated Displacement 37
Infrastructure Deficit 39
Built-in Flexibility 41
Access to Transport 43
Autonomous Vehicles 45
Air Quality 47
Flooded Cities 49
Basic Sanitation 52
Eco-civilisation 54
Intra-city Collaboration and Competition 57
Off-grid 59
Conclusion: Smart Cities vs Smarter Citizens 61
Chapter 4 Challenge 3: Future Power 64
Shifting Power and Influence 65
Rise of the Cult of China 69
Africa Growth 72
Declining Government Influence 75
Everything Connected 79
Privacy Regulation 81
Standards Driving Trade 83
Open Supply Webs 86
Energy Storage 88
Conclusion: Shifting Sands 90
Chapter 5 Capitalism Challenged 92
Nature's Capital 94
Full Cost 95
Human Touch 99
Changing Nature of Privacy 102
Truth and Illusion 104
Ethical Machines 107
Keeping the Faith 110
Conclusion 113
Chapter 6 Challenge 5: Future Behaviour 115
Key Resource Constraints 117
Food Waste 119
Urban Obesity 122
Plastic Oceans 124
Data Ownership 126
Digital Money 128
Education Revolution 130
Mass Engagement 132
Caring for Those Left Behind 134
Conclusion: Still Being Stupid? 136
Chapter 7 Challenge 6: Future Business 138
Companies with Purpose 139
Speed-to-Scale 141
The Value of Data 144
Dynamic Pricing 146
Organisation 3.0 148
Creative Economy 150
Deeper Collaboration 153
The Real Sharing Economy 155
Last-Mile Delivery 156
Sometime Nomads 159
Conclusion: Business and Society 162
Chapter 8 Reflections on Common Views of the Future 163
1 Too Many People 164
2 Running out of Resources 164
3 Pollution is out of Control 165
4 Migration is Bad 165
5 There will not be Enough Jobs 166
6 Female Education can Address Many Issues 166
7 Technology will Solve the Big Problems 167
8 Solaris the Answer 167
9 We Need to Rethink Retirement 168
10 Health-Care Spending will Only Go Up 168
11 This is the Asian Century 169
12 GDP Growth is the Best Way to Measure Progress 170
Chapter 9 Cross Topic Insights 171
Trust 172
Privacy 173
Inequality 173
Transparency 176
Identity 178
Conclusion 180
Questions 181
Moving Forward 185
Endnotes 186
Index 196
