Presidential Swing States
The 2020 United States presidential race is arguably already over except for about 12 states and 20 counties. If recent presidential election trends are any indication of what will happen in 2020, Democrats in Texas and Republicans in New York might as well stay home on election day because their votes will matter little in the presidential race. The same might be said for voters in most states and counties in the United States. Conversely, for those in Ohio, Florida, Colorado, Iowa, and a handful of other states, every vote matters. These states will be battered with a barrage of presidential candidate visits, commercials, political spending, and countless stories in the media. This book analyzes why the presidential race has been effectively reduced to about a dozen states and 20 counties. Contributors to this volume make substantial updates and additions in light of the 2016 and in anticipation of the 2020 presidential elections, including 6 new chapters exploring why some states are swingers in presidential elections, capable of being won by either of the major candidates. The volume also adds a chapter examining important swing counties throughout the country. Presidential Swing States describes what makes these few states and counties unique and why the presidency is decided by who wins them. With cases studies written by prominent political scientists who are experts on these swing states, Presidential Swing States also explains why some states have been swingers but no longer are, why some are swinging, and which states may become the ones that decide the presidency.
1128178100
Presidential Swing States
The 2020 United States presidential race is arguably already over except for about 12 states and 20 counties. If recent presidential election trends are any indication of what will happen in 2020, Democrats in Texas and Republicans in New York might as well stay home on election day because their votes will matter little in the presidential race. The same might be said for voters in most states and counties in the United States. Conversely, for those in Ohio, Florida, Colorado, Iowa, and a handful of other states, every vote matters. These states will be battered with a barrage of presidential candidate visits, commercials, political spending, and countless stories in the media. This book analyzes why the presidential race has been effectively reduced to about a dozen states and 20 counties. Contributors to this volume make substantial updates and additions in light of the 2016 and in anticipation of the 2020 presidential elections, including 6 new chapters exploring why some states are swingers in presidential elections, capable of being won by either of the major candidates. The volume also adds a chapter examining important swing counties throughout the country. Presidential Swing States describes what makes these few states and counties unique and why the presidency is decided by who wins them. With cases studies written by prominent political scientists who are experts on these swing states, Presidential Swing States also explains why some states have been swingers but no longer are, why some are swinging, and which states may become the ones that decide the presidency.
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Overview

The 2020 United States presidential race is arguably already over except for about 12 states and 20 counties. If recent presidential election trends are any indication of what will happen in 2020, Democrats in Texas and Republicans in New York might as well stay home on election day because their votes will matter little in the presidential race. The same might be said for voters in most states and counties in the United States. Conversely, for those in Ohio, Florida, Colorado, Iowa, and a handful of other states, every vote matters. These states will be battered with a barrage of presidential candidate visits, commercials, political spending, and countless stories in the media. This book analyzes why the presidential race has been effectively reduced to about a dozen states and 20 counties. Contributors to this volume make substantial updates and additions in light of the 2016 and in anticipation of the 2020 presidential elections, including 6 new chapters exploring why some states are swingers in presidential elections, capable of being won by either of the major candidates. The volume also adds a chapter examining important swing counties throughout the country. Presidential Swing States describes what makes these few states and counties unique and why the presidency is decided by who wins them. With cases studies written by prominent political scientists who are experts on these swing states, Presidential Swing States also explains why some states have been swingers but no longer are, why some are swinging, and which states may become the ones that decide the presidency.

Product Details

ISBN-13: 9781498565882
Publisher: Lexington Books
Publication date: 05/24/2019
Edition description: Second Edition
Pages: 514
Product dimensions: 6.05(w) x 8.63(h) x 0.91(d)

About the Author

David A. Schultz is professor of political science at Hamline University.

Rafael Jacob is post-doctoral fellow at the Raoul-Dandurand Chair's Center for U.S. Studies and instructor at the University of Ottawa's School of Political Studies.

Table of Contents

Chapter 1: Purple Battlegrounds: Presidential Campaign Strategies and Swing State Voters
Scott L. McLean

Part I: The “Classic” Swing States

Chapter 2: Florida: Still the Largest Swing State
Sean D. Foreman

Chapter 3: Iowa: Still Swinging After All These Years
Donna R. Hoffman and Christopher W. Larimer

Chapter 4: New Hampshire as a Swing State
Dante J. Scala

Chapter 5: Nevada: A Swing State No More? Demographic and Political Change in the Silver State
David F. Damore and Rebecca D. Gill

Chapter 6: Ohio
Sean Trende

Part II: The “Recent” Swing States

Chapter 7: Still Contesting Colorado? The Politics of the 2016 Election in Colorado
Robert R. Preuhs, Norman Provizer, and Andrew Thangasamy

Chapter 8: North Carolina: Still Swingin’ in the South
Christopher A. Cooper and H. Gibbs Knotts

Chapter 9: Virginia: Demography Drives the Old Dominion’s Destiny
John J. McGlennon

Part III: The “New-Found” Swing States

Chapter 10: Michigan: Hiding Behind a Thin Blue Wall
David A. Dulio and John S. Klemanski

Chapter 11: Keys to the Keystone State: Pennsylvania’s Return as a Premier Swing State
Rafael Jacob and Christopher Borick

Chapter 12: A Blue State Turns Red: The Future of Wisconsin Politics in the Aftermath of the Surprising 2016 Election
Neil Kraus and Aaron C. Weinschenk

Part IV: The “Emerging” Swing States?

Chapter 13: Arizona: Right of Center with Potential to Change
Kate Kenski

Chapter 14: The “Two Maines” in a (Potentially) New Swing State
Amy Fried and James P. Melcher

Chapter 15: The Loyal Blue State of Minnesota: Turning Purple
David A. Schultz

Chapter 16: Swing Counties in Presidential Elections
David A. Schultz
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