Estimation of Uncertainty of Wind Energy Predictions: With Application to Weather Routing and Wind Power Generation

by David Zastrau

Overview

Wind drives in combination with weather routing can lower the fuel consumption of cargo ships significantly. For this reason, the author describes a mathematical method based on quantile regression for a probabilistic estimate of the wind propulsion force on a ship route.

Product Details

ISBN-13:	9783631718858
Publisher:	Peter Lang GmbH, Internationaler Verlag der Wissenschaften
Publication date:	03/07/2017
Series:	Maritime Logistik / Maritime Logistics , #9
Edition description:	New
Pages:	123
Product dimensions:	5.83(w) x 8.27(h) x (d)

About the Author

David Zastrau studied Computer Science at the University of Bremen where he received his PhD. He researches artificial intelligence, maritime logistics, as well as weather and wave forecast accuracy.

Table of Contents

Uncertainty in Wind Power Generation and Weather Routing – Offshore Wind Power Logistics – Weather Routing – Ship Propulsion Energy – Wind Propulsion Systems – Statistical Pattern matching – Uncertainty in Weather Predictions – Estimation of Prediction Uncertainty – Prediction Intervals – Ensemble Prediction Systems – Quantile Regression – Local Energy Distribution Moments