Emerging Markets and Financial Globalization: Sovereign Bond Spreads in 1870-1913 and Today

by Paolo Mauro, Nathan Sussman, Yishay Yafeh

Overview

The frequency and virulence of recent financial crises have led to calls for reform of the current international financial architecture. In an effort to learn more about today's international financial environment, the authors turn to an earlier era of financial globalization between 1870 and 1913. By examining data on sovereign bonds issued by borrowing developing countries in this earlier period and in the present day, the authors are able to identify the characteristics of successful borrowers in the two periods. They are then able to show that global crises or contagion are a feature of the 1990s which was hardly known in the previous era of globalization. Finally, the authors draw lessons for today from archival data on mechanisms used by British investors in the 19th century to address sovereign defaults. Using new qualitative and quantitative data, the authors skilfully apply a variety of approaches in order to better understand how problems of volatility and debt crises are dealt with in international financial markets.

Product Details

ISBN-13:	9780199272693
Publisher:	Oxford University Press
Publication date:	06/01/2006
Pages:	208
Product dimensions:	8.60(w) x 5.70(h) x 0.90(d)

About the Author

Paolo Mauro Chief of the Strategic Issues Division in the International Monetary Fund's Research Department. Nathan Sussman is Assistant Professor in the Department of Economics at the Hebrew University of Jerusalem and Research Fellow of the Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR). Yishay Yafeh is Senior Lecturer in the School of Business Administration and Department of East Asian Studies at the Hebrew University of Jerusalem and Research Fellow of the Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR) and the European Corporate Governance Institute (ECGI).

Table of Contents

Table of ContentsList of TablesList of FiguresPreface and Acknowledgements1. International Capital Flows in the Previous Era of Globalization: An Overview and Outline of the Book and its Objectives2. The London Market for Sovereign Debt, 1870-1913 versus Today's Markets3. The Determinants of the Cost of Capital: Case Study Evidence4. News and Sharp Changes in Bond Spreads5. Spreads, News, and Macroeconomics: A Multivariate Regression Analysis6. Co-movement of Spreads: Fundamentals or Investor Behavior? 7. Sovereign Defaults and the Corporation of Foreign Bondholders8. A Few Lessons for the FutureAppendix 1: Emerging Market Bonds and Spreads, 1870-1913Appendix 2: Macroeconomic Data Sources, 1870-1913Bibliography

Editorial Reviews

'This meticulous and imaginative study represents a real breakthrough for our understanding of pre-First World War financial "globalization" ... essential reading for anyone who wants to understand how internationally integrated bond markets functioned in what is sometimes called (perhaps misleadingly) the world economy's "golden age".' -Niall Ferguson, Laurence A. Tisch Professor of History, Harvard University

'The great economic histories, for example by Bairoch, Braudel, Cipolla, de Vries, and Pirenne, are full of detailed facts and broad ideas. Emerging Markets and Financial Globalization belongs in the same category (and on the same bookshelf) for a simple reason - like the classics, you cannot pick up this volume without learning or thinking something new. Sovereign bond spreads shed great light on both how the world used to operate and where it may now be headed.' -Simon Johnson, Kurtz Professor, Sloan School of Management, MIT

"Accessible writing, elegant analysis, and profound insights - a must read for those interested in financial globalization." -Jeffrey G. Williamson, Laird Bell Professor of Economics, Harvard University

From the Publisher