COVID-19 and World Order: The Future of Conflict, Competition, and Cooperation

by Hal Brands (Editor), Francis J. Gavin (Editor)

Overview

Leading global experts, brought together by Johns Hopkins University, discuss national and international trends in a post-COVID-19 world.

The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic has killed hundreds of thousands of people and infected millions while also devastating the world economy. The consequences of the pandemic, however, go much further: they threaten the fabric of national and international politics around the world. As Henry Kissinger warned, "The coronavirus epidemic will forever alter the world order."

What will be the consequences of the pandemic, and what will a post-COVID world order look like? No institution is better suited to address these issues than Johns Hopkins University, which has convened experts from within and outside of the university to discuss world order after COVID-19. In a series of essays, international experts in public health and medicine, economics, international security, technology, ethics, democracy, and governance imagine a bold new vision for our future.

Essayists include: Graham Allison, Anne Applebaum, Philip Bobbitt, Hal Brands, Elizabeth Economy, Jessica Fanzo, Henry Farrell, Peter Feaver, Niall Ferguson, Christine Fox , Jeremy A. Greene, Hahrie Han, Kathleen H. Hicks, William Inboden, Tom Inglesby, Jeffrey P. Kahn, John Lipsky, Margaret MacMillan, Anna C. Mastroianni, Lainie Rutkow, Kori Schake, Eric Schmidt, Thayer Scott, Benn Steil, Janice Gross Stein, James B. Steinberg, Johannes Urpelainen, Dora Vargha, Sridhar Venkatapuram, and Thomas Wright.

In collaboration with and appreciation of the book's co-editors, Professors Hal Brands and Francis J. Gavin of the Johns Hopkins SAIS Henry A. Kissinger Center for Global Affairs, Johns Hopkins University Press is pleased to donate funds to the Maryland Food Bank, in support of the university's food distribution efforts in East Baltimore during this period of food insecurity due to COVID-19 pandemic hardships.

Product Details

ISBN-13:	9781421440736
Publisher:	Johns Hopkins University Press
Publication date:	09/08/2020
Pages:	472
Product dimensions:	6.00(w) x 9.00(h) x 1.09(d)
Age Range:	18 Years

About the Author

Hal Brands is the Henry A. Kissinger Distinguished Professor of Global Affairs at the Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies (SAIS) and a scholar at the American Enterprise Institute. A columnist for Bloomberg Opinion, he is also the author or editor of several books, including The New Makers of Modern Strategy: From the Ancient World to the Digital Age, The Twilight Struggle: What the Cold War Teaches Us about Great-Power Rivalry Today, and Danger Zone: The Coming Conflict with China, with Michael Beckley.

Francis J. Gavin is the Giovanni Agnelli Distinguished Professor and the inaugural director of the Henry A. Kissinger Center for Global Affairs at the Johns Hopkins University School of Advanced International Studies (SAIS). Gavin is also the chairman of the Board of Editors of Texas National Security Review. He is the author of Gold, Dollars, and Power: The Politics of International Monetary Relations, 1958–1971 and Nuclear Statecraft: History and Strategy in America's Atomic Age. His latest book, Nuclear Weapons and American Grand Strategy, was published in 2020.

Table of Contents

Foreword Ronald J. Daniels ix

Acknowledgments xiii

COVID-19 and World Order Hal Brands Francis J. Gavin 1

Part I Applied History and Future Scenarios

1 Ends of Epidemics Jeremy A. Greene Dora Vargha 23

2 The World after COVID: A Perspective from History Margaret MacMillan 40

3 Future Scenarios: "We are all failed states, now" Philip Bobbitt 56

Part II Global Public Health and Mitigation Strategies

4 Make Pandemics Lose Their Power Tom Inglesby 75

5 Origins of the COVID-19 Pandemic and the Path Forward: A Global Public Health Policy Perspective Lainie Rutkow 93

6 Bioethics in a Post-COVID World: Time for Future-Facing Global Health Ethics Jeffrey P. Kahn Anna C. Mastroianni Sridhar Venkatapuram 114

Part III Transnational Issues: Technology, Climate, and Food

7 Global Climate and Energy Policy after the COVID-19 Pandemic: The Tug-of-War between Markets and Politics Johannes Urpelainen 135

8 No Food Security, No World Order Jessica Fanzo 148

9 Flat No Longer: Technology in the Post-COVID World Christine Fox Thayer Scott 169

Part IV The Future of the Global Economy

10 Models for a Post-COVID US Foreign Economic Policy Benn Steil 191

11 Prospects for the United States' PostCOVID-19 Policies: Strengthening the G20 Leaders Process John Lipsky 204

Part V Global Politics and Governance

12 When the World Stumbled: COVID-19 and the Failure of the International System Anne Applebaum 223

13 Public Governance and Global Politics after COVID-19 Henry Farrell Hahrie Han 238

14 Take It Off-Site: World Order and International Institutions after COVID-19 Janice Gross Stein 259

15 A "Good Enough" World Order: A Gardener's Manual James B. Steinberg 277

Part VI Grand Strategy and American Statecraft

16 Maybe It Won't Be So Bad: A Modestly Optimistic Take on COVID and World Order Hal Brands Peter Feaver William Inboden 297

17 COVID-19's Impact on Great-Power Competition Thomas Wright 316

18 Building a More Globalized Order Kori Schake 331

19 Could the Pandemic Reshape World Order, American Security, and National Defense? Kathleen H. Hicks 348

Part VII Sino-American Rivalry

20 The United States, China, and the Great Values Game Elizabeth Economy 369

21 The US-China Relationship after Coronavirus: Clues from History Graham Allison 388

22 Building a New Technological Relationship and Rivalry: US-China Relations in the Aftermath of COVID Eric Schmidt 406

23 From COVID War to Cold War: The New Three-Body Problem Niall Ferguson 419

Index 439

What People are Saying About This

Ambassador Susan E. Rice

"The post-COVID world will raise profound challenges for policy makers in Washington and around the world. This outstanding volume brings together insights from visionary thinkers from a broad range of disciplines to help us navigate this uncharted territory."

Lawrence H. Summers

"COVID-19 attacked the world at a time when the international system was already under great stress. This volume brings together the best minds, from across the disciplines, to understand why the world was fracturing before COVID and how we might construct a more effective and just world order after COVID. An essential read."

Stephen J. Hadley

"Hal Brands and Frank Gavin have assembled an all-star cast of writers to peer into the future of world order after COVID-19—what it means for US-China relations, American grand strategy, technological innovation and competition, global public health, and many other subjects. If you want to know how the world will change—and how it won't—after COVID, you cannot afford to miss this book. It is a must-read."

From the Publisher

Hal Brands and Frank Gavin have assembled an all-star cast of writers to peer into the future of world order after COVID-19—what it means for US-China relations, American grand strategy, technological innovation and competition, global public health, and many other subjects. If you want to know how the world will change—and how it won't—after COVID, you cannot afford to miss this book. It is a must-read.
—Stephen J. Hadley, former national security advisor to President George W. Bush

The post-COVID world will raise profound challenges for policy makers in Washington and around the world. This outstanding volume brings together insights from visionary thinkers from a broad range of disciplines to help us navigate this uncharted territory.
—Ambassador Susan E. Rice, former national security advisor to President Barack Obama

The COVID-19 crisis has made it clear that the international order has reached a historic inflection point. This book provides an excellent tour de horizon of current and future global challenges, as well as thoughtful debates about how the United States can navigate an increasingly complex world.
—Jake Sullivan, former national security advisor to Vice President Joe Biden

COVID-19 attacked the world at a time when the international system was already under great stress. This volume brings together the best minds, from across the disciplines, to understand why the world was fracturing before COVID and how we might construct a more effective and just world order after COVID. An essential read.
—Lawrence H. Summers, Charles W. Eliot Professor at Harvard University and former treasury secretary of the United States

Jake Sullivan

"The COVID-19 crisis has made it clear that the international order has reached a historic inflection point. This book provides an excellent tour de horizon of current and future global challenges, as well as thoughtful debates about how the United States can navigate an increasingly complex world."