Table of Contents
Introduction xiv
State of Management xvi
Applicability of These Concepts xvii
Benefiting from the Topic xvii
Chapter 1: Failure & Stagnation 1
Failure, Failure Everywhere 1
Underperformance 6
The Overlooked Costs of Failure: The Intangibles and
Opportunity Costs 7
The Clogged Pipeline 8
The Causes of Failure 9
Why Is Failure So Prevalent? 10
Final Thoughts on Failure 12
Chapter 2: Don’t Start Off on the Wrong Foot 15
The Action Bias 16
Frames 16
Framework Selection 18
The Domain Transfer of Failure Mode and Effect Analysis 22
Brief History of FMEA and Its Adoption by Different Disciplines 23
Objectives of the FMEA 25
Best Practices for a Successful FMEA 25
Components That Make Up a FMEA 26
Examples of Preventive Measures 36
Detection Measures 41
Chapter 3: The Business Failure Audit and the Domain Transfer of Root Cause Analysis 43
How Should One Proceed? The Domain Transfer of Root Cause Analysis 45
Differences Between an RCA and Functional Area Audits 46
The Adoption of Functional Area Audits 47
Background and Use of the Failure Audit (Root Cause Analysis) 49
NASA’s RCA Methodology 51
How to Conduct the Failure Audit: An Overview 51
Chapter 4: The Early Warning System 61
Background 62
Creating a Z-Score Metric for Other Areas of Business 64
The Option of Building a More Sophisticated EWS 66
Creating the EWS and Its Foundation, the Causal Forecast 67
Chapter 5: Blind Spots and Traps 83
Areas of Failure: Knowns and Unknowns 84
The “Known-Knowns” 85
The “Known-Unknowns”: Forecasting 130
Improving Forecasts 135
The “Unknown–Unknowns” 139
Chapter 6: The Preplanned Exit Strategy 143
The Trigger 144
What Should Never Factor into the Decision 148
Company, Product, and Market Exits 148
The “In-Between” Strategies (or Plan B) 150
Exit Strategies 158
Faster Exit Strategies 164
Epilogue: Challenges with Domain Transfers and the Next Major Domain Transfer 171
Facilitating Adoption 171
Finding the Team Leader 172
Triggers, Protocols, and Documentation 173
Incentivizing Behaviors 174
Professional Certifications 174
An Unlikely but Potential Solution 176
The Future Domain Transfer: Artificial Intelligence 176
Appendix: The Early Warning System-Details 191
Step 5: Entering Leading, Lagging, and Connectors into a Spreadsheet 191
Step 6: Calculating the Variance 194
Step 7: Calculating a Weighed Scored 194
Step 8: The Early Warning System Dashboard 195
Step 9: Troubleshooting: When the EWS Shows
Underperformance 196
Digging Deeper 197
The Return on Promotion (ROP) 199
Endnotes 203
Chapter 1, “Failure & Stagnation” 203
Chapter 2, “Don’t Start Off on the Wrong Foot” 204
Chapter 3, “The Business Failure Audit and the
Domain Transfer of Root Cause Analysis” 205
Chapter 4, “The Early Warning System” 206
Chapter 5, “Blind Spots and Traps” 206
Chapter 6, “The Preplanned Exit Strategy” 209
Epilogue 209
Index 211