Table of Contents
List of Figures ix
Preface xi
Acknowledgments xiii
Part I Introduction to the Hinge of History 1
Part II A Walk around the Emerging New World 13
1 Russia in an Emerging World 35
Excerpt: From "Russia and the Solecism of Power" David Holloway 44
2 China in an Emerging World 45
Excerpt: From "China's Demographic Prospects to 2040: Opportunities, Constraints, Potential Policy Responses" Nicholas Eberstadt 61
Excerpt: From "China's Rise in Artificial Intelligence: Ingredients and Economic Implications" Kai-Fu Lee Matt Sheehan 62
3 Latin America in an Emerging World 63
Sidebar: Governance Lessons from the Emerging New World: India 72
Excerpt: From "Latin America: Opportunities and Challenges for the Governance of a Fragile Continent" Ernesto Silva 80
Excerpt: From "Digital Transformation in Central America: Marginalization or Empowerment?" Richard Aitkenhead Benjamin Sywulka 81
4 The Middle East in an Emerging World 83
Excerpt: From "The Islamic Republic of Iran in an Age of Global Transitions: Challenges for a Theocratic Iran" Abbas Milani Roya Pakzad 100
5 Europe in an Emerging World 101
Sidebar: Governance Lessons from the Emerging New World: Japan 109
Excerpt: From "Europe in the Global Race for Technological Leadership" Jens Suedekum 113
6 Africa in an Emerging World 115
Sidebar: Governance Lessons from the Emerging New World: Bangladesh 126
Excerpt: From "Unlocking the Potential of Mobile Tech in Africa: Tracking the Trends and Guiding Effective Strategy on Maximizing the Benefit of Mobile Tech" André Pienaar Zach Beecher 135
Part III An Emerging America 137
7 Emerging Technology and America's Economy 141
Excerpt: From "How Will Machine Learning Transform the Labor Market?" Erik Brynjolfsson Daniel Rock Prasanna Tambe 174
8 Emerging Technology and America's National Security 175
Excerpt: From "Information: The New Pacific Coin of the Realm" Admiral Gary Roughead Emelia Spencer Probasco Ralph Seramel 191
Part IV Shared Challenges to Governance 193
9 The Information Challenge to Democratic Elections 201
Excerpt: From "What Is to Be Done' Safeguarding Democratic Governance in the Age of Network Platforms" Niall Ferguson 210
10 Governing over Diversity in a Time of Technological Change 213
Excerpt: From "Unlocking the Power of Technology for Better Governance" Jeb Bush 224
11 Demography and Migration 227
Excerpt: From "How Will Demographic Transformations Affect Democracy in the Coming Decades?" Jack A. Goldstone Larry Diamond 242
12 Health and the Changing Environment 243
Excerpt: From "Global Warming: Causes and Consequences" Lucy Shapiro Harley McAdams 257
Excerpt: From "Health Technology and Climate Change" Stephen R. Quake 258
13 Emerging Technology and Nuclear Nonproliferation 259
Excerpt: From "Nuclear Nonproliferation: Steps for the Twenty-First Century" Ernest J. Moniz 271
Part V What Have We Learned? 273
Governance in an Emerging New World: Project Timeline 299
Notes 307
About the Authors 313
Index 315